Angers SCO vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
53%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
12º
18º
14º
34
4º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 83 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 64 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 62 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 55 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 54 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 47 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 42 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 7% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 15% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 24% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 25% |
|
Mid-table
|
70% | 29% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
12.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angers SCO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 0
ANG
77%
16%
8%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 1
LEN
21%
24%
56%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 1
ANG
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
REN
2 - 1
ANG
79%
14%
8%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LMU
2 - 0
ANG
25%
23%
52%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
NIC
1 - 1
TFC
47%
26%
28%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AUX
2 - 1
NIC
31%
26%
43%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
IPS
1 - 0
NIC
43%
25%
33%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LEC
2 - 3
NIC
41%
26%
34%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
RIZ
2 - 2
NIC
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |