Angers SCO vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
12º
18º
18º
8
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 80 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 68 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 64 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 58 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
8 | 57 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 56 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 45 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 42 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 34 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 33 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 31 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
|
17º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 15% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 13% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 18% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 18% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 36% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
73% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angers SCO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 1
ANG
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
REN
2 - 1
ANG
79%
14%
8%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LMU
2 - 0
ANG
25%
23%
52%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
VOL
2 - 3
ANG
8%
17%
76%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 0
DUN
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LEN
3 - 0
LEI
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
VER
1 - 3
LEN
10%
21%
69%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LEN
2 - 2
LEV
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
UTR
2 - 1
LEN
39%
26%
35%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LEU
0 - 1
LEN
28%
25%
47%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |