Andrea Doria vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
21.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Andrea Doria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
SAM
1 - 0
AND
31%
22%
47%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
AND
1 - 1
INT
48%
22%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
AND
2 - 3
TOR
33%
24%
43%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
AND
0 - 0
TRI
71%
17%
13%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
VNZ
2 - 2
AND
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
BOL
2 - 0
ATL
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
MOD
2 - 0
BOL
37%
28%
36%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
BOL
4 - 0
GEN
64%
18%
18%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
JUV
1 - 0
BOL
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
ACM
2 - 2
BOL
55%
22%
23%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |