CE Andratx vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
5º
1º
37
1º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 53 |
5º
|
96.5% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
76% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
76% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
76.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
89% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CE Andratx
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BNS
1 - 3
AND
8%
18%
74%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AND
1 - 1
CON
82%
12%
6%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PBL
2 - 2
AND
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
AND
5 - 2
JOR
80%
14%
7%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
AND
13%
20%
68%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CON
3 - 0
MER
52%
24%
24%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
JOR
36%
24%
40%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MNC
1 - 0
MER
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MER
1 - 1
CLL
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PIN
2 - 0
MER
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |