Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 6-5
Andorra vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Andorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1993 |
IZA
3 - 1
AND
63%
22%
15%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
AND
1 - 1
LEM
58%
25%
17%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1993 |
FCA
2 - 0
AND
64%
22%
14%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
AND
1 - 1
BEA
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
SNT
4 - 0
AND
34%
30%
36%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1993 |
ZAR
2 - 0
NUM
47%
28%
26%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
NUM
3 - 1
VAL
55%
25%
20%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
NUM
2 - 2
BAR
47%
29%
24%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1993 |
LOG
2 - 1
NUM
42%
30%
28%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
NUM
4 - 1
ELG
68%
21%
11%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |