Andijon vs Surkhon Termez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
10º
9º
25
5º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 51 |
1º
|
93.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 45 |
2º
|
71.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 39 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 36 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 34 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 32 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 31 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 27 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 26 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 25 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 19 |
14º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
81% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Andijon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BUN
2 - 0
AND
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
QIZ
0 - 3
AND
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AND
2 - 3
OLM
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
FKO
0 - 1
AND
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
AND
3 - 0
NAV
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Surkhon Termez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
TER
1 - 0
QIZ
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
TER
3 - 1
XOR
62%
21%
18%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
TER
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
FKO
2 - 0
TER
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
TER
2 - 1
MET
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |