Andés vs U.Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
43.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Andés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 1
AND
56%
22%
23%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
AND
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AND
2 - 3
FRE
26%
24%
50%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
AST
4 - 0
AND
63%
21%
16%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
AND
0 - 1
ROC
24%
26%
50%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
U.Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
COM
0 - 2
FRE
50%
21%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
AST
4 - 0
COM
52%
22%
26%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
COM
3 - 2
ROC
40%
24%
36%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ESM
2 - 2
COM
62%
21%
17%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
COM
0 - 0
SIE
35%
23%
42%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |