Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Anderlecht vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
9.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1984 |
ANT
0 - 3
AND
38%
26%
36%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1984 |
AND
5 - 1
KVM
85%
11%
5%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
BER
0 - 1
AND
12%
18%
70%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1984 |
AND
2 - 2
KSK
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
BRU
1 - 1
AND
54%
23%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1983 |
SPA
2 - 0
SPA
97%
2%
1%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1983 |
SPA
1 - 1
SPA
3%
24%
73%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1983 |
ASV
1 - 2
SPA
68%
17%
14%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
SPA
2 - 2
ASV
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
HJK
0 - 5
SPA
9%
21%
70%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |