Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Anderlecht vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1977 |
AND
3 - 1
KVM
86%
10%
4%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
ANT
1 - 0
AND
27%
25%
49%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1977 |
AND
4 - 2
KFC
85%
10%
5%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
CER
1 - 1
AND
25%
24%
51%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
LIE
0 - 5
AND
16%
23%
61%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1977 |
SOU
2 - 2
MUD
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1977 |
SOU
2 - 0
BUR
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1977 |
SHE
2 - 2
SOU
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1977 |
SOU
2 - 2
HUL
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1977 |
SOU
2 - 1
NTT
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |