Europa League Last 16
Global 6-2
Anderlecht vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1982 |
AND
3 - 1
GEN
77%
15%
8%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1982 |
SER
1 - 2
AND
12%
19%
69%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
BRU
1 - 1
AND
56%
22%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1982 |
FCP
3 - 2
AND
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1982 |
AND
6 - 0
TON
89%
8%
3%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1982 |
SAR
4 - 0
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
4 - 4
SAR
70%
16%
15%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
SAR
4 - 2
SSO
56%
21%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1982 |
SSO
2 - 2
SAR
69%
16%
15%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
SAR
3 - 3
HSV
16%
20%
64%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |