Champions League 1/16
Global 4-3
Anderlecht vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
49.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
CER
1 - 1
AND
21%
23%
56%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
BEE
1 - 1
AND
34%
24%
43%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1962 |
RMA
3 - 3
AND
88%
8%
4%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1962 |
AND
2 - 0
DIE
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1962 |
STR
3 - 3
AND
28%
24%
48%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
BET
2 - 5
RMA
21%
23%
56%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1962 |
RMA
3 - 3
AND
88%
8%
4%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 1962 |
RMA
2 - 1
SEV
90%
7%
3%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1962 |
RMA
4 - 1
ZAR
91%
6%
3%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1962 |
ZAR
1 - 2
RMA
31%
23%
47%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |