Anderlecht vs OH Leuven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
21.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
6º
5º
11
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 57 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 54 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 49 |
3º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 49 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 49 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 46 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 44 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 40 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 39 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 38 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 37 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 35 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 31 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 30 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
63% | 16% |
|
Next round
|
34.5% | 59% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 25% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 2
AND
44%
25%
31%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
AND
1 - 0
STR
57%
23%
21%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
AND
6 - 2
AMI
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
AND
2 - 1
WOL
39%
25%
36%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SPB
2 - 1
AND
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
OH Leuven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LEU
3 - 1
GNK
28%
23%
49%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BEE
0 - 0
LEU
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LEU
0 - 1
LEN
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RKC
2 - 4
LEU
30%
24%
47%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
HEI
0 - 8
LEU
9%
16%
76%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |