Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
6º
5º
27
4º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 58 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 50 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 47 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 46 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 40 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 37 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 37 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 37 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 35 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 33 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 31 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 27 |
15º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 18 |
16º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
92.5% | 3% |
|
Next round
|
7.5% | 87.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
VKP
2 - 0
AND
39%
25%
36%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
KVK
0 - 2
AND
24%
25%
51%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
AND
1 - 0
ANT
49%
25%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
AND
0 - 3
BRU
44%
25%
31%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
BEE
0 - 1
AND
24%
25%
51%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
KVM
1 - 2
GNK
44%
24%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CER
1 - 0
KVM
42%
25%
33%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
KVM
0 - 0
SDL
61%
21%
19%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
KVC
1 - 1
KVM
37%
24%
39%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
KVM
1 - 1
ANT
53%
24%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |