UEFA Super Cup Final
Global 4-3
Anderlecht vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1978 |
AND
5 - 0
KSV
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
ANT
1 - 0
AND
26%
26%
48%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
AND
7 - 0
RAA
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
BRU
3 - 0
AND
54%
23%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
AND
1 - 1
THO
78%
15%
8%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
ARS
1 - 0
LIV
38%
28%
34%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
LIV
2 - 0
MID
76%
16%
8%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1978 |
TOT
0 - 0
LIV
29%
28%
43%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
LIV
1 - 0
MAC
68%
20%
13%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
QPR
1 - 3
LIV
24%
29%
46%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |