Europa League Last 16
Global 2-1
Anderlecht vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1983 |
AND
4 - 2
LOK
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
KSV
2 - 2
AND
24%
25%
51%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1983 |
LEN
1 - 1
AND
40%
25%
35%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
AND
2 - 1
MOL
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1983 |
SDL
2 - 3
AND
50%
24%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1983 |
MON
3 - 1
LEN
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1983 |
LEN
2 - 1
ASS
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1983 |
LEN
1 - 1
AND
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1983 |
BRE
2 - 1
LEN
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1983 |
LEN
5 - 1
SPO
80%
13%
7%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |