Champions League 1/16
Global 5-1
Anderlecht vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
KVM
0 - 2
AND
19%
23%
58%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1965 |
FEN
0 - 0
AND
44%
23%
33%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1965 |
AND
3 - 1
BRU
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
AND
8 - 1
TIL
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
BER
2 - 1
AND
21%
23%
56%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
FEN
1 - 2
IST
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1965 |
FEN
0 - 0
AND
44%
23%
33%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1965 |
FEN
2 - 1
BEY
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
FEN
1 - 0
BJK
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
HAC
0 - 2
FEN
27%
28%
45%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |