Europa League 1/16
Global 4-2
Anderlecht vs Baník Ostrava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
KVM
1 - 1
AND
19%
25%
56%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
AND
6 - 1
BER
89%
8%
4%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
AND
1 - 1
BRY
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
KSK
2 - 1
AND
40%
25%
35%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
AND
6 - 1
BRU
51%
23%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Baník Ostrava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
B19
1 - 1
BAN
15%
22%
63%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
BAN
5 - 0
B19
87%
9%
4%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1982 |
BAN
0 - 0
VCF
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
VCF
1 - 0
BAN
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
BAN
1 - 0
GLE
86%
9%
5%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |