Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-6
Anderlecht vs Dundee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
BER
0 - 2
AND
22%
23%
55%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
AND
2 - 1
DCM
80%
13%
8%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1962 |
LIE
2 - 1
AND
33%
24%
43%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
STR
3 - 1
AND
31%
24%
45%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
AND
3 - 1
OLY
85%
10%
5%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1963 |
CLY
3 - 2
DUN
29%
24%
47%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1963 |
ABE
1 - 0
DUN
46%
23%
32%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1962 |
RAI
2 - 4
DUN
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1962 |
DUN
2 - 2
MHE
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1962 |
STM
0 - 3
DUN
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |