Champions League Last 16
Global 4-2
Anderlecht vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
BRU
0 - 0
AND
29%
24%
47%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
AND
4 - 2
SDL
61%
20%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1962 |
CSK
2 - 2
AND
41%
23%
36%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1962 |
UNI
1 - 1
AND
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
AND
3 - 1
ANT
69%
17%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1962 |
CSK
2 - 2
AND
41%
23%
36%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1962 |
PAR
1 - 4
CSK
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
CSK
2 - 1
PAR
54%
21%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
DUK
2 - 1
CSK
56%
21%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1961 |
CSK
4 - 4
DUK
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |