Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Anderlecht vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
AND
2 - 0
LIE
74%
15%
10%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1982 |
AND
1 - 1
SDL
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
LOK
1 - 1
AND
42%
25%
33%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1982 |
AND
0 - 0
KVK
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1982 |
THO
2 - 1
AND
23%
26%
52%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
CRV
3 - 0
BAN
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
BAN
3 - 1
CRV
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
CRV
8 - 1
HIB
97%
3%
1%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
HIB
1 - 2
CRV
24%
26%
51%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1981 |
CRV
0 - 1
INT
63%
23%
15%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |