Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 3-1
Anderlecht vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
KSK
0 - 1
AND
23%
25%
51%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
AND
2 - 1
STR
78%
15%
8%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
SLB
1 - 0
AND
47%
26%
27%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 0
AND
31%
26%
44%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
AND
1 - 1
RAA
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
51%
22%
27%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
SLB
1 - 0
AND
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 2
SLB
54%
23%
23%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
SLB
0 - 0
UDL
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
SCP
0 - 1
SLB
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |