Europa League Final
Global 2-1
Anderlecht vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
AND
2 - 1
ANT
75%
16%
10%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1983 |
AND
3 - 1
BOH
88%
9%
4%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1983 |
KVK
1 - 5
AND
25%
26%
50%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1983 |
AND
4 - 0
THO
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1983 |
BOH
0 - 1
AND
30%
25%
45%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1983 |
FCU
1 - 1
SLB
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1983 |
AMO
1 - 3
SLB
10%
19%
71%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
SLB
0 - 0
RIO
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1983 |
SLB
0 - 0
FCU
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
SLB
3 - 0
SCP
73%
18%
10%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |