Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-7
Anderlecht vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
BEE
4 - 0
AND
19%
24%
58%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
AND
1 - 0
BRU
54%
22%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1987 |
BYM
5 - 0
AND
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
CHA
0 - 2
AND
21%
24%
56%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1987 |
AND
1 - 1
MOL
83%
11%
5%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
KOL
1 - 1
BYM
28%
26%
46%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1987 |
BYM
5 - 0
AND
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
BYM
3 - 0
F95
80%
13%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1987 |
BVB
2 - 2
BYM
28%
25%
46%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1986 |
S04
2 - 2
BYM
29%
25%
46%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |