Cup Semi-finals
Global 5-3
Anderlecht vs KAS Eupen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
LEU
0 - 0
AND
23%
23%
54%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
AND
2 - 0
GNK
40%
24%
35%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
ZUL
1 - 2
AND
24%
23%
53%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
AND
4 - 1
EUP
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
EUP
2 - 2
AND
24%
23%
53%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
KAS Eupen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 0
EUP
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
EUP
1 - 3
BRU
12%
20%
68%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
EUP
0 - 1
GEN
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
AND
4 - 1
EUP
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
EUP
2 - 2
AND
24%
23%
53%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |