Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Final
Global 3-4
Anderlecht vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
AND
3 - 0
BER
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1970 |
INT
0 - 2
AND
52%
23%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
OOS
1 - 3
AND
13%
17%
70%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
AND
2 - 0
LIE
82%
13%
5%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1970 |
AND
0 - 1
INT
60%
21%
20%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1970 |
AJA
1 - 0
ARS
76%
15%
10%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1970 |
ARS
3 - 0
AJA
48%
23%
29%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1970 |
ARS
2 - 1
WHU
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1970 |
IPS
2 - 1
ARS
37%
29%
34%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1970 |
ARS
2 - 0
CRY
78%
16%
7%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |