Ancona vs Vigor Senigallia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
12º
5º
30
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 75 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 62 |
2º
|
48% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 61 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 57 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 55 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 48 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 46 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 45 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 40 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 38 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 35 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 35 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 31 |
17º
|
32.5% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 25 |
18º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
80% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 88% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
2 - 2
ANC
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ANC
0 - 1
FER
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ISE
0 - 2
ANC
20%
23%
57%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ANC
1 - 0
AVE
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
ANC
23%
26%
51%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vigor Senigallia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
VSU
2 - 2
ISE
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
AVE
1 - 0
VSU
33%
26%
42%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
VSU
0 - 2
CAS
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
VSU
1 - 1
RCF
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BFM
2 - 2
VSU
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |