Ancona vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
PIS
2 - 0
ANC
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
ANC
2 - 0
CAS
64%
23%
13%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
ANC
2 - 1
PIA
61%
25%
15%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
ANC
1 - 1
TOR
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
PAD
1 - 1
ANC
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
AVE
2 - 2
COS
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
PIA
2 - 1
AVE
37%
31%
33%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
AVE
1 - 0
PAD
41%
31%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
UDI
1 - 1
AVE
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
CAS
1 - 0
AVE
29%
28%
44%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |