Ancona vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
27.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
ANC
1 - 0
LIC
49%
29%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
MES
3 - 1
ANC
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
ANC
1 - 0
PAR
45%
29%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
SSB
1 - 1
ANC
41%
28%
30%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
ANC
0 - 1
TOR
27%
30%
43%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
AVE
1 - 1
TRI
56%
28%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
PIS
2 - 1
AVE
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
AVE
0 - 1
USF
63%
25%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
LIC
0 - 0
AVE
45%
28%
28%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
AVE
1 - 0
MES
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |