Ancona vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
FIA
1 - 1
ANC
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
ANC
2 - 3
REG
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
ANC
0 - 1
VNZ
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
RAV
2 - 0
ANC
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
ANC
4 - 3
GEN
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
TRE
3 - 0
RAV
36%
27%
36%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
REG
1 - 0
TRE
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
PRG
2 - 1
TRE
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
TRE
3 - 0
ASS
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
REG
0 - 0
TRE
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |