Ancona vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
38.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2007 |
ANC
0 - 2
VIR
48%
27%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
USF
2 - 1
ANC
51%
27%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
ANC
1 - 0
PRG
17%
24%
59%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
JUS
2 - 0
ANC
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
RAV
1 - 0
ANC
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
GIU
1 - 1
CAV
20%
29%
52%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
CAV
2 - 1
MAR
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
GAL
0 - 3
CAV
40%
28%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
CAV
2 - 1
TER
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
CAV
2 - 0
TAR
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |