Ancona vs Savona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
AST
3 - 0
ANC
17%
24%
59%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ANC
3 - 4
OLY
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
ANC
24%
25%
50%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ANC
1 - 0
SAN
85%
11%
4%
|
57 | 22 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RCA
1 - 4
ANC
17%
24%
59%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAV
76%
16%
7%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SAV
6 - 0
TCA
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
LEO
2 - 1
SAV
59%
24%
17%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
SAV
1 - 2
LEO
25%
28%
47%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SAV
4 - 1
ACL
37%
28%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |