Ancona vs San Marino Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ANC
0 - 0
FOR
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
GRO
1 - 1
ANC
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ANC
2 - 1
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 1
ANC
22%
26%
53%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
ANC
0 - 0
TER
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 0
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
PIS
53%
23%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 1
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 2
LAQ
29%
28%
43%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 1
SAN
39%
28%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |