Ancona vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.1%
Win probability
0.25
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.4%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
<0%
0
17.4%
78.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
21.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
27.5%
0-2
21%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.2%
-2
24.6%
0-3
13.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.2%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
SSS
1 - 1
ANC
43%
29%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
PES
1 - 1
ANC
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
ANC
0 - 0
BAR
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
ANC
0 - 1
FIO
28%
24%
49%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
AVE
0 - 2
ANC
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
PIS
3 - 1
ROM
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
ROM
1 - 2
FCN
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
ROM
5 - 2
PIA
91%
7%
2%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
ROM
2 - 0
COM
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
ASS
2 - 1
ROM
9%
18%
74%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | -1 |