Ancona vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
59.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
JUS
2 - 0
ANC
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
RAV
1 - 0
ANC
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
ANC
1 - 1
TER
35%
28%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
TER
1 - 1
ANC
49%
26%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
ANC
2 - 4
SAN
56%
25%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
PRG
1 - 0
AVE
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 0
PRG
19%
24%
58%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
PRG
3 - 0
GAL
69%
21%
11%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
SSS
1 - 1
PRG
18%
25%
57%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
PRG
1 - 0
GIU
77%
18%
5%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |