Ancona vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
53.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
EMP
2 - 0
ANC
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
ANC
0 - 2
PAR
21%
25%
54%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CHI
1 - 0
ANC
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ANC
0 - 1
LAZ
21%
26%
53%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
BOL
3 - 2
ANC
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2004 |
PRG
1 - 2
JUV
28%
27%
46%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
PRG
0 - 1
ROM
28%
26%
46%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 0
PRG
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
PRG
2 - 2
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2003 |
PRG
3 - 0
CHI
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |