Ancona vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
COS
2 - 0
ANC
38%
29%
34%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
ANC
1 - 2
VER
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
FIA
1 - 2
ANC
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
ANC
3 - 2
CES
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
USF
1 - 0
ANC
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
PRG
0 - 0
PAL
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
PRG
1 - 0
PIS
63%
24%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
CES
2 - 0
PRG
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
PRG
2 - 2
GEN
24%
29%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
REG
0 - 0
PRG
59%
25%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |