Ancona vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
26%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
SSB
1 - 1
ANC
41%
28%
30%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
ANC
0 - 1
TOR
27%
30%
43%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
BRE
2 - 3
ANC
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
COM
0 - 2
ANC
49%
28%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
ANC
0 - 0
REG
42%
29%
29%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
PAR
0 - 0
COM
54%
28%
18%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
PES
2 - 0
PAR
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
PAR
0 - 2
REG
48%
29%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
PAR
0 - 2
PIS
42%
31%
28%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
REG
0 - 2
PAR
31%
32%
37%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |