Ancona vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
21%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
REG
1 - 1
ANC
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
ANC
3 - 1
AVE
37%
30%
33%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
PAD
3 - 1
ANC
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
ANC
0 - 0
MES
48%
28%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
USC
0 - 0
ANC
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
PAR
2 - 0
EMP
41%
31%
28%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
PAR
0 - 0
TAR
54%
28%
19%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
LIC
1 - 1
PAR
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
PAR
0 - 0
SSS
53%
29%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
AVE
2 - 0
PAR
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |