Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 3-2
Ancona vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
45.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
ANC
4 - 1
CES
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
VNZ
4 - 0
ANC
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
ANC
3 - 0
PAL
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
NAP
0 - 0
ANC
72%
18%
9%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
RAV
0 - 1
ANC
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
NAP
3 - 1
LEC
72%
18%
10%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
CAG
1 - 2
NAP
30%
28%
42%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
NAP
0 - 0
ANC
72%
18%
9%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
NAP
0 - 0
INT
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
NAP
2 - 1
UDI
70%
19%
12%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |