Ancona vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
ANC
0 - 0
VIC
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
VER
1 - 1
ANC
50%
26%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
GIA
0 - 2
ANC
12%
21%
67%
|
70 | 26 | 44 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1993 |
ANC
0 - 2
ATL
30%
31%
40%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1993 |
UDI
2 - 0
ANC
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1993 |
MOD
0 - 0
ASC
39%
29%
33%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
PIS
3 - 0
MOD
55%
28%
18%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
VIC
1 - 0
MOD
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1993 |
MOD
1 - 2
BAR
38%
29%
34%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1993 |
VNZ
1 - 1
MOD
58%
25%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |