Ancona vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
20.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
TAR
1 - 1
ANC
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
ANC
1 - 1
VER
38%
31%
31%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
SAL
1 - 0
ANC
43%
27%
29%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
ANC
2 - 0
TRI
54%
28%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
BRE
2 - 0
ANC
42%
29%
30%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1990 |
BOL
1 - 0
MOD
83%
12%
6%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
MOD
0 - 1
ASL
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
SSB
0 - 1
MOD
46%
29%
25%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
MOD
0 - 2
REG
45%
29%
26%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
AVE
1 - 0
MOD
45%
30%
25%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |