Ancona vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
53.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
SSS
3 - 0
ANC
26%
27%
46%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
ANC
0 - 2
PIS
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 1
ANC
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
ANC
2 - 1
VNZ
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
LEC
2 - 1
ANC
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2003 |
ACM
1 - 0
FCP
52%
23%
25%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
JUV
1 - 1
ACM
56%
22%
22%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
ACM
2 - 2
ROM
54%
24%
22%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2003 |
JUV
0 - 0
ACM
57%
22%
22%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
PIA
4 - 2
ACM
27%
27%
47%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | -1 |