Ancona vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
SIE
0 - 0
ANC
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2002 |
ANC
0 - 1
NAP
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
REG
1 - 0
ANC
62%
24%
15%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2002 |
ANC
3 - 3
PAL
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
EMP
5 - 0
ANC
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
MES
1 - 0
EMP
31%
28%
42%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
TER
2 - 2
MES
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
MES
0 - 2
CAG
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
MES
4 - 0
CRO
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
MOD
1 - 1
MES
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |