Ancona vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
19%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1992 |
ANC
2 - 2
PES
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
CES
1 - 1
ANC
52%
27%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
ANC
2 - 1
VNZ
61%
24%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1992 |
LEC
0 - 0
ANC
50%
28%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
ANC
1 - 1
PAL
63%
23%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1992 |
MES
1 - 1
REG
45%
29%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
AVE
2 - 1
MES
39%
30%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
MES
2 - 1
ASL
49%
28%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1992 |
PAL
2 - 1
MES
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
MES
2 - 0
COS
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |