Ancona vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
COS
2 - 1
ANC
43%
28%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
ANC
1 - 0
USF
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
AVE
1 - 0
ANC
39%
30%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
ANC
2 - 0
ASC
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
REG
1 - 1
ANC
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
MES
2 - 2
UDI
39%
30%
32%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
TAR
0 - 0
MES
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
MES
3 - 0
SSB
47%
29%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
ASL
0 - 0
MES
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
ASC
5 - 1
MES
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |