Ancona vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
31.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
ANC
3 - 2
CAT
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
SPE
1 - 0
ANC
75%
15%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
UNI
5 - 0
ANC
80%
12%
8%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
ANC
1 - 1
BRE
38%
23%
39%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
SIR
3 - 1
ANC
77%
13%
10%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
MOD
2 - 0
MES
63%
19%
18%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
MES
1 - 0
SER
81%
11%
8%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
MES
4 - 1
LIV
56%
20%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
MES
4 - 1
SIR
58%
20%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
SPA
3 - 1
MES
75%
15%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |