Ancona vs Gualdo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
FOL
0 - 0
ANC
29%
28%
44%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
ANC
0 - 0
FOR
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
BEN
1 - 0
ANC
28%
30%
43%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
CUO
1 - 0
ANC
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
ANC
0 - 2
SAS
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gualdo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
GUA
3 - 5
SAS
14%
24%
63%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
SPA
0 - 1
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
GUA
0 - 0
VIN
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
ACP
2 - 0
GUA
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
GUA
0 - 1
UCG
56%
24%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |