Ancona vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
CSA
1 - 1
ANC
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
ANC
1 - 0
TOR
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
PES
2 - 0
ANC
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
ANC
2 - 1
PES
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
ANC
1 - 2
PES
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
GEN
1 - 1
ASL
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
GEN
3 - 0
ATL
47%
24%
28%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
VNZ
2 - 0
GEN
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
GEN
1 - 0
ASS
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
ASS
1 - 1
GEN
14%
24%
62%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |