Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 3-6
Ancona vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
36.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1992 |
ANC
0 - 2
UDI
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1992 |
BOL
1 - 1
ANC
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1992 |
ANC
0 - 0
COS
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
BRE
2 - 0
ANC
51%
28%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
ANC
2 - 0
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
GEN
2 - 0
GIA
93%
5%
1%
|
81 | 27 | 54 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
NAP
1 - 0
GEN
73%
17%
9%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
GEN
0 - 2
USF
56%
24%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
TOR
4 - 0
GEN
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
GEN
1 - 2
INT
37%
28%
35%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |