Ancona vs Gallipoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
ANC
2 - 2
PAD
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
EMP
3 - 0
ANC
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
ANC
2 - 1
ABN
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CTT
1 - 0
ANC
44%
27%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
SAL
3 - 0
ANC
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Gallipoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
GAL
0 - 5
VIC
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
SAS
1 - 2
GAL
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
GAL
2 - 2
GRO
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CES
0 - 0
GAL
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
GAL
1 - 4
ASC
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |